In the first weekend its easy to get caught up in betting 10+ games. Just remember 8-6 is less profitable than 4-1. Another thing to keep in mind, and this weeks topic...the teaser. Some people love a teaser, others hate it. When teasing games a push is typically a loss for the whole bet. Essentially a teaser is a parlay where you are buying points.
With large lines of 35+ this week its easy to fall into teasers where you cutting 3 times big spreads down by 10 points. Instead of winning 1 bet, now you are trying to win 3. Just food for thought. I try to avoid teasers. Rather I buy points to get below key numbers. 35.5 down to 35, 7.5 to 7 etc.
On to the picks.
Michigan State -16. The Spartans are a team that I like a lot this year. Western Michigan while being an in state rival with home field advantage, is simply outclassed here. Dantonio's team is going to be focused and should be able to exploit the average MAC defense of the Broncos. Western Michigan likely won't score 21 points
Penn State -6.5. By now you have probably heard that Temple is returning a lot of starters on Defense. They are still Temple. The team has an above average defense, but no QB or offense for that matter. The Owls are going to try to make Hackenberg beat them by stuffing the run. PSU has a great receiving corps, an improved offensive line, and a huge talent differential.
Texas A&M/Arizona State Over 70. Sounds like a huge number and it is. 10 touchdowns is a lot to ask for, but when you look at the Aggies defense and fast paced offense, this game should feature quick scores. Tempo is key and chunk yardage is what we need to make this happen. Kyle Allen should put up 45+ on a weak defense.
I will be tweeting additional games closer to kick off. It's a long season so start small and don't look to win 10 games on the first Saturday. Let's start the season 3-0!
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