Todd McShay Final
1 Texans Jadeveon Clowney, DE, S Carolina
2 Rams Greg Robinson, OT, Auburn
3 Jaguars Khalil Mack, OLB, Buffalo
4 Browns Blake Bortles, QB, UCF
5 Raiders Sammy Watkins, WR, Clemson
6 Falcons Jake Matthews, OT, TAMU
7 Buccaneers Mike Evans, WR, TAMU
8 Vikings Johnny Manziel, QB, TAMU
9 Bills Eric Ebron, TE, UNC
10 Lions Ha Ha Clinton-Dix, S, Alabama
11 Titans Teddy Bridgewater, QB, Louisville
12 Giants Taylor Lewan, OT, Michigan
13 Rams C.J. Mosley, LB, Alabama
14 Bears Aaron Donald, DT, Pittsburgh
15 Steelers Darqueze Dennard, CB, MSU
16 Cowboys Timmy Jernigan, DT, FSU
17 Ravens Zack Martin, OT,
18 Jets Brandin Cooks, WR, ORST
19 Dolphins Morgan Moses, OT, Virginia
20 Cardinals Calvin Pryor, S, Louisville
21 Packers Odell Beckham Jr., WR, LSU
22 Eagles Marqise Lee, WR, USC
23 Chiefs Cody Latimer, WR, Indiana
24 Bengals Bradley Roby, CB, Ohio State
25 Chargers Justin Gilbert, CB, OKST
26 Browns Kelvin Benjamin, WR, FSU
27 Saints Kyle Fuller, CB, VTech
28 Panthers Joel Bitonio, OT, Nevada
29 Patriots Louis Nix III, DT, Notre Dame
30 49ers Jason Verrett, CB, TCU
31 Broncos Ra’Shede Hageman, DT, Minn
32 Seahawks Xavier Su’a-Filo, G, UCLA
Just so you can get a visual on it, here is Todd McShay's Final Mock draft released just before Thursday night's first round. Correct picks are in green, while the incorrect picks are in red. As you can see, he picked four out of 32 correct first round picks. Even accounting for trades, the team still did not pick who McShay said they would.
Not to pick on McShay, because there are tons of analysts out there who picked their first rounds and even picked into the second round. Mel Kiper Jr. is the most popular NFL Draft expert on ESPN and intensely studies college football prospects and NFL teams. If you look here, he also did not fare so well picking this year's draft class 2/32 (insider access needed). He does provide great insight to who he thinks teams need and based on his rankings, where they could go. Could go. He doesn't know. Neither do you or I for that matter. The only people who know are the five to 15 or so executives and coaches in the draft "war rooms." It's as simple as that. Unless the first pick is decided upon before the draft begins, nobody can say for sure who that team is going to pick.
This is the problem that creates very unhappy fans, like you!
Last night the Eagles picked DE/OLB (whatever he is) Marcus Smith from the University of Louisville and the Eagles fanbase was livid. Let me tell you why: MOCK DRAFTS!
The Eagles are not the first team to make an unpopular pick in the first round (#5 will always love you) and they certainly won't be the last. The mock draft vortex sucks everyone in come the beginning of spring each and every year. We buy in, we hype it up, we call into radio stations to argue over guessing. And each and every year we see that nobody really knows anything. The 2014 first round was no different than '13, '12, '11, etc.
The fans don't know anything, the analysts don't know anything, the "experts" don't know anything, the reports from sources are rarely right, and most of all the draft-eligible players have no idea. Take for instance Marcus Smith, the Eagles' brand new player. Didn't have a party, no cameras showed up at his home/event, all because he was not expecting to be picked #26. All experts put Smith somewhere in the second round, even the third round. But of course as soon as the Eagles selected Smith, some experts were saying things like "Well he was a darkhorse first rounder," "I could have seen him going late first, early second." YOU LIE. ALL OF YOU. LIES.
The first round of the draft was exciting, and so will the next six. I certainly look forward to seeing who our Eagles will select with their remaining picks. Through the next two days, mock drafts will turn into "Best Available" lists and that's fine by me because that's all there should be.
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