Hockey Abstract ran a study to see who was the luckiest team in the NHL and it saw the Flyers come in at 12th out of the league's 30 teams. The Toronto Maple Leafs, Pittsburgh Penguins, and Chicago Blackhawks were 1-2-3 at the top of the list.
The list contains five measurements for luck:
- CHIP (combined cap hit of injured players) - Flyers, along with the Florida Panthers, had the highest total.
- PDO Weighting (Team Shooting Percentage plus Save Percentage) - Flyers were the only middle of the road team as they did not weigh positively or negatively.
- STI Weighting (Special Teams Index - Power Play plus Penalty Killing Percentage) - Flyers had the strongest STI of all teams last season, which further indicates that their 5-on-5 play was bad.
- One Goal Game Weighting (Win / Loss in one-goal games) - Flyers were positive and came in somewhere around 12th in the league in this category.
- Overtime Game Weighting - The Flyers were totally flat in this category as well.
Now, they do mention that there is a certain skill requirement involved. You can't win one-goal games or have a strong PDO weighting if you don't have guys who can score. It is that easy. The site has interactive slide bars so you can put more emphasis on CHIP if you so desire. The Flyers finished 12th with everything being equal.
The past two seasons the Flyers finished eighth overall in luck but when they made their Stanley Cup run in 2009-10 they checked in at 15th on the luck scale. Things change quickly as the year prior to the Stanley Cup run, 2008-09, the Flyers finished as the third luckiest team in the entire NHL.
Hopefully next year they can move up a bit.
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