At the behest of Whiz Wit fanboy, Parker, I took a look at the effectiveness of Luke Schenn's fighting on the Flyers - specifically, whether or not it sparks the team.
Following Schenn's bout with Gregory Campbell on January 25th, I noted that the Flyers were 1-4-0 while being outscored 19-10 in games in which Schenn fights. But question arose, were the Flyers losing in all five games when Schenn fought thus making his fights 20% effective turning around the team? Or were they winning or tied and the other team took the advantage?
Schenn's first fight came on October 5th against the Montreal Canadiens. When he dropped the gloves with Travis Moen, the Flyers were already trailing 3-1 and went on to lose 4-1. No shift of momentum there for either side.
The second bout came 10 days later against the Vancouver Canucks with the game tied at zero. Three minutes later the Flyers would score to make it 1-0 but 10 seconds after that the Canucks tied the game on a fluke bounce off the end boards. I'll give Schenn credit for this momentum boost to lead to the first goal because the Vancouver goal was a total fluke. Flyers went on to lose 3-2.
On November 19th, Schenn dropped the gloves with Colin Greening late in the second period with the Flyers holding on to a 2-1 lead. Neither team would score before intermission but the Senators would tie the game 3:12 into the third period. The Flyers went on to win the game 5-2 but no thanks to Schenn's fight.
He's 1-for-3 if you're keeping track at home.
On January 12th, Schenn dropped the gloves with Dan Carcillo with the Rangers up 3-0. It was a good idea to try and spark the team but it unfortunately sparked the wrong team as the Rangers would get the game's next goal and go on to win 4-1.
Finally, there was the fight against Campbell. The Flyers were trailing 4-0 at the time of the bout and the Flyers went on to lose 6-1.
So, in the end, Schenn's fights have a 20% chance to sparking the club to score and a 20% chance of them winning the game if he drops the gloves (ironically, we're talking about two different games here).
As for some of the other guys:
Zac Rinaldo - Flyers are 2-2-1 in games in which he fights while he has caused a positive momentum swing 20% of the time and a negative momentum swing 20% of the time.
Wayne Simmonds - Flyers are 1-3-1 in games in which he fights while he has caused a positive momentum swing 20% of the time and a negative momentum swing 0% of the time (he was involved in the November 1st brawl against the Capitals but Washington already had momentum).
It's interesting to note that Simmonds had perhaps the biggest positive momentum swing as the Flyers scored two goals within two minutes of his third period fight against the Washington Capitals on December 15th. They went on to lose the game in a shootout.
Jay Rosehill - Flyers are 4-2-2 in games in which he fights while he has cause a positive momentum swing 12.5% of the time and a negative momentum swing 37.5% of the time.
* Positive momentum swing defined as a Flyers goal scored within the five minute major time-frame while a negative momentum swing is an opponent goal scored within the five minute major time-frame*
This isn't very scientific nor does it mean a whole lot but it is interesting to see the effectiveness of some of these Flyers fights in a somewhat concrete way.
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